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Evidence of a cognitive bias in the quantification of COVID-19 with CT: an artificial intelligence randomized clinical trial

Abstract


This study explores biases in COVID-19 pneumonia quantification via chest CT and assesses AI's role in mitigating them. Radiologists consistently overestimate lung involvement, as evidenced by a survey and retrospective analysis. A randomized trial with AI shows a significant reduction in overestimation errors, underlining AI's value in minimizing human biases.

Methods


The study involves three main experiments. The first employs a synthetic experiment with 40 radiologists, assessing their estimation of lung involvement ratios in simulated CT slices. The second is a retrospective analysis of CT studies from 109 patients, confirming the presence of overestimation biases in real COVID-19 cases. The third is a randomized clinical trial with AI decision support, involving 76 CT studies from COVID-19 patients, comparing outcomes between the AI analysis arm and the control arm without AI assistance.

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Results


Radiologists consistently overestimate lung involvement in synthetic and real CT scenarios. In the retrospective analysis, overestimation averages 15.83% and 9.47%. AI intervention in the trial decreases errors from 9.47% to 0.98%, confirming AI's ability to mitigate human biases.

Conclusions


This study confirms radiologists' consistent overestimation biases in COVID-19 CT quantification. AI significantly reduces errors, emphasizing its role in enhancing objectivity and precision in radiological assessments and addressing perception biases in medical imaging.


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